If Russia does NOT annex Ukraine before 2024, will Ukraine's 2030 real GDP be over 180bn USD (in 2020 US dollars)?
EconomiaOne-OffGeopoliticaRussia / Ucraina5a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 17:10 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 71%
Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto23 feb 22, 08:47 UTC1 gen 32, 04:59 UTC
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Update 2024-Jan-06:
- I don't think Ukraine counts as "annexed", so I resolved the other market to NA.
- We can re-open this market, and extend the date until 2031 (or whenever GDP data is available for 2030).
- Original Criteria
- This is part of a conditional forecast.
- This version is about Ukraine's GDP given Russian NOT annexing them this year.
