By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?
24.2 pt (24h)One-OffScienza10aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2029 99%+29.6ptIn testa tra 16 esiti
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Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
22 mar 25, 11:49 UTC31 dic 36, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
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Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiRegole
When the next (2nd) millennium prize problem is solved, that year and all future years will resolve yes.
- The publication date of the solution (without significant gaps) will be used (UTC).
- To count, a large majority of the mathematical community has to view it as a valid solution.
- (This is almost certainly equivalent to the Clay institute offering to award the prize.)
- A particular year will resolve no if at least one month into the next year no serious solution has been posted.
- A solution proposed by anyone not affiliated to a research institute is not considered serious unless a professional mathematician has highlighted it as such.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved??
- Manifold Markets quota 2029 al 99% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved??
- By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2036.
- Come viene liquidato By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: When the next (2nd) millennium prize problem is solved, that year and all future years will resolve yes.