KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 4 92%+3.0ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Above 4 92%+3.0ptQualità del mercato
69 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
23,4K €
Open interest
8,4K €
Open interest medioSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
2 ott 26, 17:00 UTC13 ott 26, 13:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
KalshiOn October 25th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
PolymarketFree flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 6 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:IMF PortWatch
- The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Regole per ogni esito
- Above 4
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 4 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 6 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 8 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 12
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 12 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 14
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 14 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.