KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Stephen Miran 14%+7.7ptIn testa tra 12 esiti
Qualità del mercato
60 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
992,1 €
Liquidità
94K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
5.2 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
5 gen 26, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?
KalshiJerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
KalshiLisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by which date?
PolymarketLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by which date?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
KalshiWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by which date?
PolymarketRegole
If the named outcome is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Library of Congress
- The nomination must be sent by the President and received by the United States Senate.
Mercati aperti
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 35 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 altri esiti
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026??
- Kalshi quota Stephen Miran al 14% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026??
- Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.