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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Fed
  3. Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

1.4% (24h)FedOne-OffUS Politics6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
December 31
December 31 22%-0.5%
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

37,8 €

Liquidità

12,5K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

2.2% / 6.3%

Spread

186.4%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-0.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

16 apr 26, 17:0331 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

December 3122%

KalshiDisponibile anche su Kalshi

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

6m
Before 2027
Before 2027
13%
Before May 15, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
1%
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
1%
28 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale3,3K €
Volume 24h0 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
  • If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
  • Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
  • The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.

Asset Sensibili al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,928.12+2.36%EthereumETH$1,659.82+1.76%SolanaSOL$65.29+1.60%

Mercati Correlati

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

3,9K €
Rate / Cut: 94%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference?

54,5 €
Trump: 17%KalshiKALSHI
How many government employees will Trump cut?

How many government employees will Trump cut?

0,2 €
More than 100,000: 42%KalshiKALSHI
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

162,8K €
0 (0: 79%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

88,2K €
Sì: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Attivi in questi argomenti

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Notizie Correlate

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsFormer Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsTrump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto NewsU.S. judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee after state challengeCrypto NewsTrump walks out of interview after clash over election fraud claims Crypto News

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
  • If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
  • Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
  • The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.