KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato è chiuso e in attesa di una risoluzione confermata.
In attesa di risoluzione verificata
CoinRithm attende un regolamento confermato dal provider prima di trattare questo mercato come risolto.
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2028 15%In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualità del mercato
34 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
17,7K €
Liquidità mediaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
22 lug 26, 15:26 UTC1 set 26, 13:27 UTC
Trend
15%
12%
2%
1%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
KalshiKevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
KalshiWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by which date?
PolymarketWarsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
PolymarketTrump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A "try to fire" includes any of the following:
- The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination
- This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.
Mercati aperti
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.5%
- No change43.6%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 74,3K €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate46.8%
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt45.8%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt3.2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 40,8K €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate43.3%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volume totale
- 61,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 21,5K €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase67.3%
- No change30.7%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 1, 2028 al 15% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh??
- Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.