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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Fed
  3. Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

FedOne-OffPoliticaUS Politics6m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before 2027
Before 2027 13%
In testa tra 3 esiti
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

1,7K €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

13.0% / 15.0%

Spread

15.4%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

12 gen 26, 15:001 gen 27, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Before 202713%

PolymarketDisponibile anche su Polymarket

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

1.4%6m
December 31
December 31
-0.5%22%
June 30
June 30
-1.4%4%
44 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità media
Volume totale14,3K €
Volume 24h37,8 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regole

If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before May 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A "try to fire" includes any of the following:
  • The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
  • The following do NOT qualify:
  • Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination
  • This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.

I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.

Asset Sensibili al Macro

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Mercati Correlati

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

3,7K €
Rate / Cut: 94%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference?

48,3 €
Trump: 17%KalshiKALSHI
How many government employees will Trump cut?

How many government employees will Trump cut?

0,2 €
More than 100,000: 42%KalshiKALSHI
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?

0 €
Sì: 6%KalshiKALSHI
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

0 €
Kevin Warsh: 88%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

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Notizie Correlate

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Regole

If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before May 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A "try to fire" includes any of the following:
  • The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
  • The following do NOT qualify:
  • Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination
  • This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.