KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeBefore Jan 1, 2030 9%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
2,8K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 minuti fa
22 lug 26, 15:351 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Before Jan 1, 20272%
Confronta le piattaforme· Before Jan 1, 2030
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto86% di corrispondenza · auto | Bassa | 9% | — | 0 € | 23,6K € | 22 minuti fa | Apri → |
| KalshiQuesta pagina | Bassa | 9% | — | 0 € | 2,8K € | 22 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Warsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
5m
9%
5%
49 • Bassa qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquidità
Volume totale4,5K €
Volume 24h0 €
POLYMARKETRegole
If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kevin Warsh must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$2522 lug6g di dati27 lug
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If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kevin Warsh must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.