Negative GDP growth in 2026?

ÉconomieOne-Off7mo

PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais

Probabilité implicite actuelle

Oui 8%

Qualite du marche

24 / 100

Faible qualité

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

683,2 €

Faible liquidité

Achat / Vente

6.2% / 10.5%

Spread

69.3%

Spread large

Variation 7j

+0.3%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes

13 nov. 25, 21:2729 janv. 27, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes8%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S.

Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution.
Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.

Actifs Sensibles au Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,663.61+1.88%

EthereumETH$1,652.22+1.30%

SolanaSOL$65.11+0.89%

Marchés Associés

US recession by end of 2026?

2,7 k €

Oui: 20%

POLYMARKET

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

792,6 €

5.0%: 17%

POLYMARKET

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,9 €

Oui: 27.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

June Unemployment Rate

134,5 €

4.4%: 35%

POLYMARKET

US real GDP growth in 2030?

134,1 €

2.6% to 3.0%: 11%

KALSHI

Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?

80,4 €

Oui: 47.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.11%

XRPXRP$1.12-0.32%

BNBBNB$595.32+1.32%

CardanoADA$0.1663+2.17%

HyperliquidHYPE$54.83-2.25%

LitecoinLTC$42.80+0.31%

Règles

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S.

Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution.
Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

ÉconomieOne-Off7mo

PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais

Probabilité implicite actuelle

Oui 8%

Qualite du marche

24 / 100

Faible qualité

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

683,2 €

Faible liquidité

Achat / Vente

6.2% / 10.5%

Spread

69.3%

Spread large

Variation 7j

+0.3%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes

13 nov. 25, 21:2729 janv. 27, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes8%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S.

Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution.
Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.

Actifs Sensibles au Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,663.61+1.88%

EthereumETH$1,652.22+1.30%

SolanaSOL$65.11+0.89%

Marchés Associés

US recession by end of 2026?

2,7 k €

Oui: 20%

POLYMARKET

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

792,6 €

5.0%: 17%

POLYMARKET

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,9 €

Oui: 27.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

June Unemployment Rate

134,5 €

4.4%: 35%

POLYMARKET

US real GDP growth in 2030?

134,1 €

2.6% to 3.0%: 11%

KALSHI

Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?

80,4 €

Oui: 47.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.11%

XRPXRP$1.12-0.32%

BNBBNB$595.32+1.32%

CardanoADA$0.1663+2.17%

HyperliquidHYPE$54.83-2.25%

LitecoinLTC$42.80+0.31%

Règles

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S.

Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution.
Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.