Canada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?
0.8 pts (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffGéopolitique22j
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 96%+0.8pt
Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
513,5 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
1.1% / 6.1%
Écart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
2 sept. 26, 17:51 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
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PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada, or an authorized representative of Canada — including a state-owned enterprise — publicly and officially announces the imposition of new tolls that apply specifically to ships traversing the Welland Canal that are bound for, originating from, or flagged to the United States ("US-targeted Welland tolls"), between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For purposes of this market, the St. Lawrence Seaway Management Corporation will be considered a state-owned enterprise of Canada.
- The tolls must apply specifically to US-bound, US-originating, or US-flagged vessels; new tolls or toll adjustments applying to all canal traffic generally, including ordinary-course tariff updates, will not qualify.
- A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Canada's present implementation of US-targeted Welland tolls, previously-unannounced prior implementation of US-targeted Welland tolls, or definitive decision to implement US-targeted Welland tolls.
- A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify US-targeted Welland tolls.
