Will Trump deploy the US military to the Panama Canal?
PolitiqueGéopolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 74%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard7 janv. 25, 17:36 UTC20 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
KalshiWill USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the Panama Canal belong to the US prior to 2029
Manifold MarketsTrump seizes Panama Canal in second term?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States control 50% or more of the Panama Canal by the end of Trump's Term?
Manifold MarketsTraffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
KalshiRègles
The Panama Canal, a crucial maritime trade route, has been under Panamanian control since December 31, 1999, following the 1977 Panama Canal Treaties signed during the Carter administration.
- Donald Trump has recently made statements suggesting Chinese troops are operating the canal and indicating a desire to retake control, claims that Panamanian President Jose Raul Mulino has firmly rejected as "nonsense."
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if:
- The US military is deployed to the Panama Canal with the explicit purpose of taking control or establishing a military presence
- The deployment must be officially ordered by the US government
