PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 96%-0.1pt
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
23,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
4.0% / 4.3%
Écart
0.3 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
1
Variation 7j
+0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
13 nov. 25, 21:45 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
KalshiWill Trump deploy the US military to the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?
Manifold MarketsCanada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?
PolymarketWill any portion of Panama become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
- An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur.
- Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US takes Panama Canal before 2027? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand US takes Panama Canal before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- US takes Panama Canal before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment US takes Panama Canal before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.