Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
US PoliticsGéopolitiqueOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 86%
Prévisionnistes
53
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète8 janv. 25, 00:09 UTC31 déc. 29, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump deploy the US military to the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill the Panama Canal belong to the US prior to 2029
Manifold MarketsWill Trump take back the Panama Canal?
KalshiWill the US control Greenland in 2026?
FutuurRègles
Any use of military force whether sucessful or not will resolve to Yes.
- Use of military force will be interpreted as employing any branch of the US Department of Defense to attack, intimidate, or coerce via military weapons, officers, officials, soldiers, technology and/or intelligence.
- Update 2026-01-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve NO if there are no credible reports or evidence to suggest the US military is involved to take over Greenland at any time during Donald Trump's 2nd term.
- Note: The creator's clarification only mentions Greenland, not the Panama Canal, which is also part of the market question.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 86% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Any use of military force whether sucessful or not will resolve to Yes.