Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
Politique américaineGéopolitiqueOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 03:37 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 92%
Prévisionnistes
54
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète8 janv. 25, 00:09 UTC31 déc. 29, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?
Manifold MarketsTraffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
KalshiTraffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
KalshiUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump take back the Panama Canal?
KalshiRègles
Any use of military force whether sucessful or not will resolve to Yes.
- Use of military force will be interpreted as employing any branch of the US Department of Defense to attack, intimidate, or coerce via military weapons, officers, officials, soldiers, technology and/or intelligence.
- Update 2026-01-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve NO if there are no credible reports or evidence to suggest the US military is involved to take over Greenland at any time during Donald Trump's 2nd term.
- Note: The creator's clarification only mentions Greenland, not the Panama Canal, which is also part of the market question.