Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79%
Prévisionnistes
309
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
20 janv. 25, 19:14 UTC20 déc. 29, 10:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump deploy the US military to the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration?
KalshiHow many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/6-9/12)
KalshiRègles
If the United States government has taken control of at least some part of the Panama Canal before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from The New York Times.
- Resolves identically to this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcanal/panama-canal-retaken
- Update 2025-20-01 (PST): - Control means the United States assumes new primary operational authority over some part of the canal.
- (AI summary of creator comment)
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump take back the Panama Canal? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump take back the Panama Canal? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump take back the Panama Canal? doit être résolu le 20 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will Trump take back the Panama Canal? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If the United States government has taken control of at least some part of the Panama Canal before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Will Trump take back the Panama Canal? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.