Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
One-OffPolitique américaineGéopolitiqueAmérique latinePolitique3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 84.5%
Prévisionnistes
311
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
20 janv. 25, 19:14 UTC20 déc. 29, 10:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump deploy the US military to the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States control 50% or more of the Panama Canal by the end of Trump's Term?
Manifold MarketsHow many days will the Panama Canal remain closed due to military conflict during Trump's presidency?
Manifold MarketsTraffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
KalshiTraffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
KalshiRègles
If the United States government has taken control of at least some part of the Panama Canal before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from The New York Times.
- Resolves identically to this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcanal/panama-canal-retaken
- Update 2025-20-01 (PST): - Control means the United States assumes new primary operational authority over some part of the canal.
- (AI summary of creator comment)
