Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
Trade PolicyOne-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection3mo
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleNon 59%
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
15,3 €
Liquidité
15,3 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
41.0% / 44.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
28 juil. 26, 15:453 nov. 26, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes41%
Tendance du volume
$1728 juil.2j de données29 juil.
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If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing a tariff of 100% or greater specifically on imported generic pharmaceutical products before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The action must specify an effective date, but it does not need to be before Nov 3, 2026.
- Exemptions or reduced rates for particular products, companies, or countries do not prevent qualification.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.