KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 150 70%-11.0ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,8 k €
Liquidité
5,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
11 sept. 26, 16:30 UTC22 sept. 26, 13:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?
PolymarketTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
KalshiBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Marchés ouverts
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+2.0pt32%
- October 31-1.0pt22%
- September 30-1.0pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 56,4 k €
KALSHIWill Trump issue dividend payments in 2026?
- No96%
- Yes-5.1pt4%
- Volume total
- 36,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,4 k €
KALSHITraffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Above 17595%
- Above 20062%
- Above 225-1.0pt8%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 31,1 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt69%
- October 31+4.0pt44%
- September 3020%
+1 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhat will Costco say during their next earnings call?
- Tariff+9.0pt93%
- Kirkland90%
- Spending80%
+15 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 16,5 k €
KALSHIWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Before 2027+1.1pt6%
- Before August0%
- Volume total
- 2,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 3,5 k €
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- What will Nike say during their next earnings call?
- What will Aritzia say during their next earnings call?
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- Will new tariffs become law?
- Rhode Island average residential electricity price in 2026
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20) ?
- Kalshi cote Above 150 à 70% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20) doit être résolu le 22 septembre 2026.
- Comment Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20) est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.