KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027 39%En tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
51 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
107 €
Liquidité
8,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
22 juil. 26, 00:00 UTC1 nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
KalshiWill the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
KalshiWill the United States impose additional tariffs on EU by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExWill the United States impose additional tariffs on South Korea by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExWill the United States impose additional tariffs on China by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExRègles
If any legislation imposing new or increased tariffs has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Library of Congress
- The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
- For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
- Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
Marchés ouverts
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt56.6%
- October 31+3.0pt30.3%
- September 30+1.0pt13.1%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 118,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 11,6 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt28%
- October 31+0.5pt13%
- September 30-2.5pt4%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes+25.0pt95%
- No5%
- Volume total
- 6,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,7 k €
KALSHIWhen will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?
- Before Jan 1, 202782%
- Before Dec 1, 202650%
- Before Nov 1, 202650%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 k €
KALSHITraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Above 175-2.0pt90%
- Above 20047%
- Above 2259%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,5 k €
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 31+3.0pt56%
- September 30-10.0pt13%
- September 151%
+1 résultats de plus
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
- Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
- Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will new tariffs become law? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2027 à 39% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will new tariffs become law? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will new tariffs become law? doit être résolu le 1 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will new tariffs become law? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If any legislation imposing new or increased tariffs has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.