KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Before Oct 1, 2026 (86%)
Résolu: 24 sept. 2026, 19:34
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 24 sept. 2026, 18:57 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Chronologie des Probabilités
Before Oct 1, 202686%
Before Nov 1, 202649%
Before Dec 1, 2026Perdu
Before Jan 1, 2027Perdu
Before Nov 1, 2026Perdu
Before Oct 1, 2026Gagné
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketActifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
Règles archivées au niveau de l'événement. Les conditions exactes de chaque résultat ne sont plus disponibles.
If the United States and China reach a new mutual tariff agreement, publicly announced or confirmed by both governments after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- An extension, modification, or replacement of the tariff truce in effect at Issuance qualifies as a new mutual tariff agreement.
- A qualifying agreement must address tariff rates or tariff suspensions; agreements limited to other trade matters do not count.
- Unilateral tariff actions do not count, even if the other side declines to respond.
- Reports that negotiations are ongoing, near completion, or agreed in principle by only one side do not count.
- An agreement qualifies once reached and confirmed by both governments, regardless of when it takes effect.