PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 92.1%
Qualité du marché
75 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
4,8 k €
Liquidité
15,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
7.0% / 8.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
14 sept. 26, 20:40 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
The American open AI frontier will catch up to Chinese models in 2026
Manifold MarketsUS x China Military clash before 2027?
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PolymarketWhen will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
KalshiUS and China publicly announce a bilateral AI arrangement before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US and/or China ban at least two open-source AI models before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of the United States and China announce an AI pacing agreement between them by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An AI pacing agreement means an agreement under which both governments commit to at least one of the following for AI developers within their jurisdictions: conditioning the training, releasing, or deploying AI models on safety requirements; capping the computing power used to train AI models; limiting the rate or extent to which AI systems autonomously train or improve more capable AI systems (recursive self-improvement); or otherwise pausing or slowing the training or release of AI models.
- Both governments must announce their acceptance of the agreement.
- A joint statement will qualify, as will separate official statements from each government that, taken together, confirm acceptance of the agreement.
- A statement by one government that the other does not confirm, and statements that reference ongoing negotiations, a prospective agreement, or an intention to cooperate without confirming acceptance of an agreement, will not qualify.
Marchés ouverts
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- No+11.0pt79.2%
- Yes-11.0pt20.8%
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POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- D-House, D-Senate+2.0pt50.5%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt33.3%
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+1 résultats de plus
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- Jon Ossoff17%
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- April 300%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 92% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of the United States and China announce an AI pacing agreement between them by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.