PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 5%
Qualite du marche
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
13,2 €
Liquidité
34,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
4.1% / 4.9%
Spread
19.5%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+0.8%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
14 janv. 26, 19:1431 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes5%
Grosses transactions
$1.0k95.0%POLYMARKETNohellokitty117-22 j
POLYMARKETNohellokitty117-22 jTendance du volume
$152 juil.25j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
1,9 k €Oui: 77%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1,1 k €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?
454 €Oui: 6.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
113,3 €Oui: 32.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
0 €Before 2027: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHI
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
0 €Oui: 14%POLYMARKET
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and United States military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the Chinese military and the United States Coast Guard is part of the United States military.