PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 96%+0.3pt
Qualité du marché
66 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
91,6 €
Liquidité
20,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
3.2% / 5.0%
Écart
1.8 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
13
Variation 7j
+0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
14 janv. 26, 19:14 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
PolymarketIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Manifold MarketsChina-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026
Manifold MarketsUS x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and United States military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the Chinese military and the United States Coast Guard is part of the United States military.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+0.3pt100%
- $25M+0.2pt100%
- $50M+1.2pt100%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 M €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85%
- Republican Party15%
- Volume total
- 25,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 418 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-2.5pt27.8%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Democrat+16.0pt82%
- Communist / Communism+13.0pt75%
- MAGA / Make America Great Again+7.0pt75%
+36 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.6pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.3pt16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt14%
+48 résultats de plus
KALSHITX-15 House winner?
- Bobby Pulido+6.0pt59.2%
- Monica De La Cruz-4.0pt40.8%
- Volume total
- 1,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 217,4 k €
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say this week?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Will Donald Trump issue a public apology?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US x China Military clash before 2027? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 96% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand US x China Military clash before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- US x China Military clash before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment US x China Military clash before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.