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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Géopolitique
  3. US x China Military clash before 2027?
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

0.5% (24h)One-OffGéopolitiqueChina6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 8%+0.0%
Qualite du marche

52 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

284,6 €

Liquidité

17,2 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

7.0% / 8.0%

Spread

14.3%

Spread large
Variation 7j

+1.5%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes

14 janv. 26, 19:1531 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes8%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and United States military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
  • Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the Chinese military and the United States Coast Guard is part of the United States military.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Actualités Associées

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Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and United States military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
  • Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the Chinese military and the United States Coast Guard is part of the United States military.