Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 58.2%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète23 juin 26, 13:18 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the U.S. ban any open-source AI model in 2026?
KalshiWill POTUS issue an executive order aiming to mitigate security risks associated with open-source AI models before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill China ban Open Source AI before the United States
Manifold MarketsUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWill an open-source AI model top the LMSYS Leaderboard at the end of 2026?
FutuurTop Open Source AI this week
KalshiRègles
Update 2026-07-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The 'and/or' means a combined total of at least two models must be banned across both countries.
- For example, if the US bans one model and China bans another, this resolves YES.