Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète13 août 25, 01:25 UTC4 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump cut corporate taxes this year?
KalshiWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
PolymarketWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria obvious, if he does it YES (and we definitely will hear about it), if midterms come and no rebate specifically sourced according to him from the tariffs resolves NO.
- I will not trade in any of my markets going forward.
Marchés ouverts
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt55.2%
- October 31+7.0pt32%
- September 30+2.0pt12.8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 113,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 9,4 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+0.5pt13%
- September 30-0.5pt6%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes+18.0pt93%
- No7%
- Volume total
- 6,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,3 k €
KALSHIWhat will Karoline Leavitt say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Trump (3+ times)91%
- Republican80%
- Inflation59%
+15 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 k €
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition+1.0pt83.3%
- $10 billion to $99 billion4.9%
- $300 billion to $599 billion3.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 31+2.0pt56%
- September 30-14.0pt9%
- September 15-0.1pt1%
+1 résultats de plus
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Trump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 85% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Trump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Trump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms? doit être résolu le 4 novembre 2026.
- Comment Trump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria obvious, if he does it YES (and we definitely will hear about it), if midterms come and no rebate specifically sourced according to him from the tariffs resolves NO.