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Données au 9 sept. 2026, 15:44 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Oct 1, 2026 0%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueÉcart
73.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
8 sept. 26, 22:00 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Canada raise tariffs on the US?
KalshiWill Trump raise tariffs on any G7 country to more than 50%?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Trump lower tariffs on Canada?
KalshiWill the United States impose additional tariffs on Canada by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
KalshiWill the Trump suspension of Tariffs on ground beef be fully implemented and last the announce 90 day time period
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Donald Trump has taken any presidential action imposing a new tariff or increasing an existing tariff on imports from Canada, with a specified effective date, through a new policy decision officially announced by Donald Trump after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Any qualifying presidential action must be taken personally during the specified time period and explicitly address the topic in its operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
- A specified future effective date qualifies.
Marchés ouverts
Trade Policy
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt55.2%
- October 31+7.0pt32%
- September 30+2.0pt12.8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 113,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 9,4 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+0.5pt13%
- September 30-0.5pt6%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes+18.0pt93%
- No7%
- Volume total
- 6,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,3 k €
KALSHIWhat will Karoline Leavitt say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Trump (3+ times)91%
- Republican80%
- Inflation59%
+15 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 k €
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition+1.0pt83.3%
- $10 billion to $99 billion4.9%
- $300 billion to $599 billion3.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 31+2.0pt56%
- September 30-14.0pt9%
- September 15-0.1pt1%
+1 résultats de plus
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Oct 1, 2026 à 0% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Donald Trump has taken any presidential action imposing a new tariff or increasing an existing tariff on imports from Canada, with a specified effective date, through a new policy decision officially announced by Donald Trump after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.