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Données au 9 sept. 2026, 15:57 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Oct 1, 2026 0%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueÉcart
67.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
8 sept. 26, 22:00 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?
KalshiWhen will Canada lower tariffs on the US?
KalshiWill the Bank of Canada raise the rate 25bps at the October 28, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExWill Trump raise tariffs on any G7 country to more than 50%?
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Manifold MarketsWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
KalshiRègles
If the Prime Minister of Canada has personally and officially announced a new decision made after Issuance committing Canada to impose a new Canadian tariff or increase an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Prime Minister of Canada
- Only reporting from the Prime Minister of Canada qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- The publication must expressly commit Canada to impose a new Canadian tariff or increase an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods.
- It must be an official speech, statement, or press release issued personally or in the prime minister's name.
- A specified future effective date qualifies.
Marchés ouverts
Trade Policy
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- December 31+8.0pt55.2%
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+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 113,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 9,4 k €
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- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+0.5pt13%
- September 30-0.5pt6%
+3 résultats de plus
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- Yes+18.0pt93%
- No7%
- Volume total
- 6,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,3 k €
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- Republican80%
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+15 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 k €
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- $0 / No Acquisition+1.0pt83.3%
- $10 billion to $99 billion4.9%
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+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
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- October 31+2.0pt56%
- September 30-14.0pt9%
- September 15-0.1pt1%
+1 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Canada raise tariffs on the US? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Oct 1, 2026 à 0% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Canada raise tariffs on the US? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Canada raise tariffs on the US? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment When will Canada raise tariffs on the US? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Prime Minister of Canada has personally and officially announced a new decision made after Issuance committing Canada to impose a new Canadian tariff or increase an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.