Will Trump raise tariffs on any G7 country to more than 50%?
Trade PolicyOne-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 74.2%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète7 févr. 26, 04:25 UTC20 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if any tariff rate on any G7 country (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom) exceeds 50% at any point before the market closes (during Trump's term).
- Resolution will be verified through official announcements from the Office of the United States Trade Representative (https://ustr.gov/trade-topics/presidential-tariff-actions) or the Federal Register.
- The market resolves NO if no G7 country faces tariffs exceeding 50% by the market deadline.
Marchés ouverts
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 3156%
- October 31+0.5pt31.2%
- September 30+4.0pt12.8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 106,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,4 k €
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- Above 2.2 million TEUs94%
- Above 2.3 million TEUs84%
- Above 2.4 million TEUs56%
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- 13,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,7 k €
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+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,7 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
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+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
- Canadian aircraft+10.0pt34%
- Wind turbines23%
- Critical minerals-29.0pt11%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,3 k €
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes-7.0pt70%
- No30%
- Volume total
- 1,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 683,1 €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump raise tariffs on any G7 country to more than 50%? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 74% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump raise tariffs on any G7 country to more than 50%? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump raise tariffs on any G7 country to more than 50%? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Trump raise tariffs on any G7 country to more than 50%? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria