🇺🇸🇨🇳 Will the U.S. and China announce reciprocal tariff cuts by September 24?
Bonds & TreasuriesOne-OffTrade PolicyUS PoliticsChina2jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.5%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
17 sept. 26, 17:24 UTC22 sept. 26, 22:00 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in September?
KalshiUS Challenger job cuts in September
KalshiDOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS effective tariff rate for Q3 2026
KalshiWill Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?”
Manifold MarketsTrump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if, by the end of September 24, 2026, the governments of the United States and China officially announce an agreement under which both countries will reduce existing tariffs on imports from the other country.
- The agreement does not need to cover all existing tariffs, and the reductions do not need to have already taken effect.
- A clear reciprocal commitment to specific tariff reductions is sufficient.
- A unilateral tariff reduction by only one country does not qualify.
- An extension of the existing trade truce without new reciprocal tariff reductions does not qualify.
