KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
5.3% or above 99%En tête parmi 25 options
Qualité du marché
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,8 k €
Liquidité
20,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
17 sept. 26, 23:45 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
KalshiWill the US 10-year Treasury yield close at 5.25% or higher before November 16, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
If the daily published par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.29% on any business day between Sep 17, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- This market covers the period between Sep 17, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027.
- Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.
- The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration.
- If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.
- Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.
Marchés ouverts
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 459,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,6 k €
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5.40%-9.5pt83%
- 5.45%-0.5pt74%
- 5.50%-5.0pt56%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Below 5.20%61%
- Below 5.15%+8.0pt56%
- Below 5.10%-2.0pt43%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 5.24%-0.5pt19%
- Below 5.21%-1.0pt13%
- Below 5.12%+1.1pt4%
+6 résultats de plus
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- 4.75% or above-1.0pt73%
- 5% or above+6.0pt61%
- 5.1% or above+9.0pt58%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- 5% or above99%
- 5.01% or above99%
- 5.02% or above+5.0pt96%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 12,7 k €
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027? ?
- Kalshi cote 5.3% or above à 99% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the daily published par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.29% on any business day between Sep 17, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.