Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOver $4.00 100%En tête parmi 17 options
Prévisionnistes
47
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète25 mars 26, 10:17 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on November 1 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow high will US unemployment go in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will US diesel prices get in 2026?
KalshiUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
PolymarketPeak US National Debt before 2027?
PolymarketUS national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
LimitlessRègles
Resolution criteria
- The national average for regular gasoline is tracked by AAA, which publishes weekly updates at gasprices.aaa.com.
- Each answer resolves YES if the national average price reaches or exceeds that threshold at any point during 2026, and NO if it does not.
- Resolution will be determined by the highest daily average reported by AAA for the year.
- As of March 19, 2026, the national average gas price was $3.81 per gallon, up from $3.53 on March 12.
- The recent spike was driven by Middle East geopolitical tensions, with the national average up 60 cents in two weeks as Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz and crude oil prices surged to $119 per barrel.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52.5%
- No change-3.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 89,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 323,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 25,3 k €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 523 k €
- Volume 24h
- 22 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt54.3%
- September Meeting+3.0pt45.7%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
- 1.5-1.7%-9.9pt68.8%
- 1.8-2.0%+8.2pt26%
- 1.2-1.4%-3.0pt3.1%
+5 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill the Citrini scenario happen?
- No83%
- Yes17%
- Volume total
- 22,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,4 k €
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core PCE YoY - August 2026
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026?
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.2% in August 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Egg prices up in August?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How high will the US national average gas price get in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Over $4.00 à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How high will the US national average gas price get in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How high will the US national average gas price get in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment How high will the US national average gas price get in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria
- Où How high will the US national average gas price get in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.