KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Exactly 2.25% 56.8%+2.0ptEn tête parmi 8 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
55 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
195,4 €
Liquidité
8 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
6 mai 26, 17:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 03:28 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiBank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Bank of Canada lower the rate 25bps at the October 28, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExWill the Bank of Canada lower the rate 25bps at the December 9, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExWill Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20?
FutuurBank of Canada Decision in October?
PolymarketRègles
If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 1.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Bank of Canada
- The “overnight rate target” refers to the Bank of Canada’s policy interest rate, not the Bank Rate, deposit rate, Canadian Overnight Repo Rate Average, prime rate, bond yields, or any other interest rate.
- The market will resolve based on the Bank of Canada’s officially stated target for the overnight rate that is in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
- If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 1.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 2.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 2.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 35 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026 ?
- Kalshi cote Exactly 2.25% à 57% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026 doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 1.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.