PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 62%+0.5pt
Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
500,7 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
25.0% / 51.0%
Écart
26.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
1
Variation 7j
+12.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
11 mars 26, 21:53 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
KalshiNumber of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiWill the Bank of Canada lower the rate 25bps at the October 28, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExWill the Bank of Canada lower the rate 25bps at the December 9, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExNext Fed rate hike?
KalshiFed rate hike by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marchés ouverts
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 35 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 62% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.