Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?”
Trade PolicyOne-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection21jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 99%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard10 juil. 26, 05:48 UTC30 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between July 10, 2026, and September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time (ET), President Donald J. Trump or the White House officially announces a new policy, executive action, presidential memorandum, proclamation, or legislative proposal concerning U.S. tariffs or immigration.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Definition of "New": The announcement must introduce a policy, tariff rate, target category, border enforcement directive, or visa rule that is distinct from policies officially active or announced prior to July 10, 2026.
- Expanding, replacing, or substantively modifying an existing program counts as a new policy; merely executing or re-stating an established schedule from a prior order does not.
- Definition of "Announce": The policy must be officially communicated directly by President Trump (e.g., via his official Truth Social account, a live public address, or an official press conference) or formally issued via the White House Briefing Room or the Federal Register.
Marchés ouverts
Trade Policy
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt55.2%
- October 31+7.0pt32%
- September 30+2.0pt12.8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 113,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 9,4 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+0.5pt13%
- September 30-0.5pt6%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes+18.0pt93%
- No7%
- Volume total
- 6,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,3 k €
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- Trump (3+ times)91%
- Republican80%
- Inflation59%
+15 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 k €
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition+1.0pt83.3%
- $10 billion to $99 billion4.9%
- $300 billion to $599 billion3.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 31+2.0pt56%
- September 30-14.0pt9%
- September 15-0.1pt1%
+1 résultats de plus
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- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
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- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
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Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?” ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 99% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?” sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?” doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?” est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria