KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
4.75% or above 60%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
242,9 €
Liquidité
8,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
9 juin 26, 15:30 UTC31 déc. 26, 19:00 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?
KalshiWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Polymarket10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 4.74% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Dec 31, 2026, or one week following Dec 31, 2026.
- If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 4.99% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 5.09% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 5.14% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 282,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,2 k €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+23.5pt72%
- 4.85%+0.5pt42%
- 4.88%+2.5pt28%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.0pt77%
- Below 4.73%-12.5pt64%
- Below 4.70%-32.0pt27%
+6 résultats de plus
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,1 k €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.74% or above99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 k €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.1pt8%
- 3.5%5%
+6 résultats de plus
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end? ?
- Kalshi cote 4.75% or above à 60% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end? sera-t-il résolu ?
- 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 4.74% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.