KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
4.95% or below · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
4.95% or below 66.5%En tête parmi 20 options
4.95% or below 66.5%Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,4 k €
Intérêt ouvert
208 $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
4.95% or belowÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
23 oct. 26, 23:05 UTC30 oct. 26, 19:30 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 1h (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · 4.95% or below
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026?
Kalshi2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
Kalshi7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
Kalshi5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.96% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.
Règles de chaque résultat
- 4.95% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.96% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.94% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.95% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.93% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.94% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.88% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.89% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.87% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.88% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.84% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.85% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.98% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.99% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.97% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.98% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.96% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.97% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.92% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.93% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.91% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.92% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.9% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.91% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.89% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.90% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.86% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.87% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.85% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.86% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.83% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.84% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.82% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.83% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.81% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.82% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.8% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.81% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.79% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.80% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.