KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 3.00% 99%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
3,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
9.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
25 juin 26, 21:00 UTC4 janv. 27, 12:55 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
SOFR at end of Q3 2026
KalshiHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Polymarket2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Kalshi30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiRègles
If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 282,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,2 k €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+23.5pt72%
- 4.85%+0.5pt42%
- 4.88%+2.5pt28%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.0pt77%
- Below 4.73%-12.5pt64%
- Below 4.70%-32.0pt27%
+6 résultats de plus
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,1 k €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.74% or above99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 k €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.1pt8%
- 3.5%5%
+6 résultats de plus
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour SOFR at end of Q4 2026 ?
- Kalshi cote Above 3.00% à 99% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand SOFR at end of Q4 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- SOFR at end of Q4 2026 doit être résolu le 4 janvier 2027.
- Comment SOFR at end of Q4 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.