KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
4.86% or above · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
—
Prix enregistré
4.86% or above 65.5%En tête parmi 35 options
4.86% or above 65.5%Qualité du marché
29 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0,9 €
Intérêt ouvert
2,1 k $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
4.86% or aboveÉcart
—
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
15 oct. 26, 03:52 UTC30 oct. 26, 19:30 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 1h (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · 4.86% or above
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
—
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?
Kalshi2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?
Kalshi5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?
Kalshi30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?
KalshiWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.01% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.
Règles de chaque résultat
- 4.86% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.92% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.76% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.75% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.8% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.82% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.81% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.88% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.87% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.9% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.96% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.98% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.97% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.04% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.03% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.1% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.09% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.14% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.13% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.2% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.19% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.12% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.11% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.16% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.15% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.78% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.77% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.02% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.01% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.18% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.17% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.22% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.21% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.42% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.41% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.24% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.23% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.44% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.43% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.84% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.83% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.94% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.06% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.05% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.08% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.07% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.26% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.25% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.28% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.27% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.3% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.29% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.32% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.31% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.34% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.33% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.36% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.35% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.38% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.37% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.4% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.39% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.