PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
5.5 to 5.6 79.4%En tête parmi 6 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
5.5 to 5.6 79.4%Qualité du marché
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
5,4 k €
Liquidité
7,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
5.3 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
4 oct. 26, 04:07 UTC5 oct. 26, 18:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be an earthquake causing at least 1 death in New Zealand by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhat will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a 6.7 or greater magnitude earthquake in San Francisco in 2026?
Manifold MarketsMajor earthquake to hit the West Coast of the US by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the magnitude of the largest earthquake recorded globally on October 4, 2026, as reported by the USGS Earthquake Catalog.
- Brackets: the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome.
- Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
- The observation period is the UTC calendar day: 00:00 UTC to 23:59 UTC on October 4, 2026.
- An earthquake is assigned to the day containing its origin time.
- Magnitude refers to the USGS preferred magnitude value, listed under 'Magnitude' in the format column.