Will the world population be 7 billion or less at any point before 2035?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffSociété et culture8aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.4%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard11 sept. 26, 08:13 UTC31 déc. 34, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will world population reach 8.5 billion by end of year 2030?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the estimated global human population is officially reported to be 7,000,000,000 (7 billion) or less at any point between the market's creation and December 31, 2034, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- The primary sources of truth for this market are:
- The United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) Population Division, specifically via the World Population Prospects database or its official revision reports.
- The U.S. Census Bureau, specifically via the U.S. and World Population Clock or the International Database (IDB).
- Any serious sources or any world event that makes this possible.
