Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 09:52 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 71.1%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète21 avr. 23, 19:48 UTC31 déc. 50, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This question will resolve as YES if the United Nations reports that the world's population has exceeded 10 billion people on or before December 31, 2050.
- Otherwise, it will resolve as NO.
- The reported population must be based on reliable and verifiable data sources, and not estimates or projections.
- The UN must provide an official announcement or report on the matter.
- The question does not take into account any potential events or disasters that could significantly impact global population numbers, such as pandemics, natural disasters, or major conflicts.
- It is solely based on the reported population number by the UN.
