Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 97.4%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète18 août 26, 09:59 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will world population reach 8.5 billion by end of year 2030?
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MyriadRègles
The United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) routinely tracks and projects global demographic shifts.
- As debates around global population growth, resource sustainability, and shifting fertility rates intensify across social platforms, this market tracks a major near-term milestone: the world population officially crossing 8.3 billion.
- ### Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point prior to January 1, 2028, at 00:00 UTC, the United Nations Population Division (or its official real-time data instruments backed by UN DESA) reports or estimates that the global human population has reached or exceeded 8,300,000,000.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO on January 1, 2028, provided no such official figure has been published by the UN prior to that date.
- ### Fine Print & Edge Cases
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) routinely tracks and projects global demographic shifts.