Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 64.6%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète31 mars 23, 08:36 UTC31 déc. 40, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Italy be a member state of the European Union by the start of 2030?
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Manifold MarketsWill the European Union (EU) block X (Twitter) in 2026?
FutuurWill the United States impose additional tariffs on EU by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExWhat will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
KalshiRègles
The United Kingdom left the European Union on January 31st, 2020, after a period of negotiation and uncertainty.
- Since then, both parties have continued to negotiate and establish new trade agreements.
- However, some in the UK remain deeply divided over the decision to leave, and there is ongoing debate about the benefits and drawbacks of rejoining the EU.
- This question will resolve positively if by December 31st, 2040, the United Kingdom is a full member of the European Union.
- If the UK is not a full member of the EU by that date, I
- [image]will resolve negatively.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the UK rejoin the European Union by 2040? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 65% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the UK rejoin the European Union by 2040? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the UK rejoin the European Union by 2040? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2040.
- Comment Will the UK rejoin the European Union by 2040? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The United Kingdom left the European Union on January 31st, 2020, after a period of negotiation and uncertainty.