Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 53.5%
Prévisionnistes
44
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète2 févr. 24, 00:59 UTC1 janv. 50, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the UK rejoin the European Union by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia join the European Union by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Italy be a member state of the European Union by the start of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the European Union (EU) block X (Twitter) in 2026?
FutuurNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRègles
In a historic referendum on June 23, 2016, the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, with 52% of the public supporting the departure in a move known as Brexit.
- Following the referendum, the UK formally triggered Article 50 in March 2017, beginning a complex and lengthy negotiation process to determine the terms of its exit.
- The UK officially left the EU on January 31, 2020, marking the end of a 47-year membership and entering a transition period that concluded on December 31, 2020, to establish new post-Brexit relations.
- Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050?
- Resolves Yes if UK completed joining the European Union before 2050
- Update 2025-02-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Clarification:
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 54% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2050.
- Comment Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : In a historic referendum on June 23, 2016, the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, with 52% of the public supporting the departure in a move known as Brexit.