Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 91.4%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète16 déc. 23, 08:13 UTC1 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Italy be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?
Manifold MarketsWhich member state of the European Union will be the first to achieve a life expectancy of 90 at birth for females?
Manifold MarketsWill Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?
Manifold MarketsMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by which date?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Italy?
PolymarketRègles
This market aims to predict the probability of Italy leaving the EU before the start of 2030.
- Will resolve to YES if Italy is still a member state by the start of 2030.