FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 92%
Non 92%Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
647,1 €
Faible liquiditéTraders
7
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026
Manifold MarketsNo new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2020s (2020-2029)
Manifold MarketsNo new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2028
Manifold MarketsNo (other) country leaves the European Union (EU) in the 2020s
Manifold MarketsFrance declares state of emergency by which date?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRègles
This event predicts whether the European Union will block access to X (formerly Twitter) across one or more EU member states at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, blocking means a legally enforced restriction preventing general public access to the platform.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official EU or member-state government announcements or enforcement actions confirming such a block.
- If the EU or its member states legally block access to X during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary outages or voluntary service changes will not count.