Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.7%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard27 oct. 26, 17:51 UTC30 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
OpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027?
Manifold MarketsFurther substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by which date?
PolymarketWill LLMs improve any major aspect of the Riemann hypothesis by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsClaude Riemann Hypothesis Lower Bound improved upon before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, prior to December 1, 2026 (11:59 PM UTC), the Riemann Hypothesis is officially recognized as solved.
- Official recognition is defined as either:
- The Clay Mathematics Institute officially verifying a proof and/or announcing the awarding of the Millennium Prize for the problem.
- A broad, undisputed consensus among leading number theorists and major mathematical bodies confirming that a published proof (or counterexample disproving the hypothesis) is valid and complete.
- A proof or disproof of the Riemann Hypothesis in Lean.
