Prévision communautaire actuelle
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61
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
2 avr. 25, 05:03 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by which date?
PolymarketWill LLMs improve any major aspect of the Riemann hypothesis by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsClaude Riemann Hypothesis Lower Bound improved upon before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill we have a proof of the Riemann Hypothesis by 2060?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
KalshiWill CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that OpenAI discovered the first valid proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before January 1st 2027.
- Only proofs made public before 2027 are considered, and the public release date determines which proof is deemed the “first.” If at least one candidate proof from OpenAI is made public before the end date but its validity remains uncertain, the end date can be extended until the proof’s validity is resolved.
- Both proofs that demonstrate the hypothesis or demonstrate that it's undecidable are acceptable in the context of this question.
- Proofs that the hypothesis is false are also acceptable.
- If another entity makes a proof public first and that proof is considered valid, this question automatically resolves as NO.
- Similarly, if no publicly known OpenAI proof emerges before January 1st 2027, the question resolves as NO.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 135,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 325 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour OpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand OpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- OpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment OpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that OpenAI discovered the first valid proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before January 1st 2027.