Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 51%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète10 août 26, 18:38 UTC1 févr. 27, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by which date?
PolymarketOpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill LLMs improve any major aspect of the Riemann hypothesis by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
KalshiAI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Context: https://www.anthropic.com/research/riemann-zeta
- Resolves yes if somebody improves on the lower bound before 2027.
- Resolves even if Claude’s proof is shown to be flawed, as long as it’s proven the lower bound is above the one claimed by Claude
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 135,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 325 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Claude Riemann Hypothesis Lower Bound improved upon before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 51% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Claude Riemann Hypothesis Lower Bound improved upon before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Claude Riemann Hypothesis Lower Bound improved upon before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 février 2027.
- Comment Claude Riemann Hypothesis Lower Bound improved upon before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Context: https://www.anthropic.com/research/riemann-zeta