Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 78.9%
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
26 nov. 22, 22:37 UTC31 déc. 59, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
OpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
KalshiAI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035
Manifold MarketsFurther substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by which date?
PolymarketWill the first valid proofs of the Collatz Conjecture and the Riemann Hypothesis occur within 12 months of one another?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to Yes as soon as a proof of the hypothesis in object is published in a well established, peer reviewed journal and it will resolve to No if no such thing happens by January 1 2060.
- Close date updated to 2060-01-01 12:59 am
Marchés ouverts
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- 110,5 k €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 21,3 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2 k €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
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- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
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- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will we have a proof of the Riemann Hypothesis by 2060? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 79% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will we have a proof of the Riemann Hypothesis by 2060? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will we have a proof of the Riemann Hypothesis by 2060? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2059.
- Comment Will we have a proof of the Riemann Hypothesis by 2060? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to Yes as soon as a proof of the hypothesis in object is published in a well established, peer reviewed journal and it will resolve to No if no such thing happens by January 1 2060.