Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 97.5%
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète10 janv. 24, 08:38 UTC1 janv. 01, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a Human or AI model solve the Riemann hypothesis by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
KalshiOpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027?
Manifold MarketsAI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by which date?
PolymarketFurther substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if the first person to prove that the Reimann hypothesis is true, false, or independent of ZFC posts their proof in the following market to get the bounty:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ElijahBodden3c33/250-mana-for-the-first-viable-proof?r=UGxhc21hQmFsbGlu)If multiple people are involved in the final proof (or disproof etc.) of the Riemann hypothesis, only one of them needs to claim the bounty.
- Resolves NO if the bounty is canceled, the bounty is claimed by someone else (e.g., someone who didn't write the proof posts it in the comments and gets the bounty), or the bounty is still unclaimed after the Riemann hypothesis has been solved for at least a year.
Marchés ouverts
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+19.9pt95%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029+7.3pt55%
+2 résultats de plus
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+1.0pt21%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,6 M €
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2030+71.0pt92%
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 108,3 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
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POLYMARKETMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- 4.4-4.6m+18.6pt65.7%
- 4.2-4.4m-20.9pt26.5%
- 4.6-4.8m+0.8pt2.9%
+4 résultats de plus
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- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will someone solve the Riemann hypothesis to get a few mana on Manifold? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 98% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will someone solve the Riemann hypothesis to get a few mana on Manifold? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will someone solve the Riemann hypothesis to get a few mana on Manifold? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2101.
- Comment Will someone solve the Riemann hypothesis to get a few mana on Manifold? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if the first person to prove that the Reimann hypothesis is true, false, or independent of ZFC posts their proof in the following market to get the bounty: