Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.5%
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète10 janv. 24, 08:38 UTC1 janv. 01, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a Human or AI model solve the Riemann hypothesis by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?
KalshiOpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved?
KalshiFurther substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by which date?
PolymarketAI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if the first person to prove that the Reimann hypothesis is true, false, or independent of ZFC posts their proof in the following market to get the bounty:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ElijahBodden3c33/250-mana-for-the-first-viable-proof?r=UGxhc21hQmFsbGlu)If multiple people are involved in the final proof (or disproof etc.) of the Riemann hypothesis, only one of them needs to claim the bounty.
- Resolves NO if the bounty is canceled, the bounty is claimed by someone else (e.g., someone who didn't write the proof posts it in the comments and gets the bounty), or the bounty is still unclaimed after the Riemann hypothesis has been solved for at least a year.