Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 72.7%
Prévisionnistes
35
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète8 juin 26, 18:24 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before blue-collar jobs are automated?
Manifold MarketsWill a Human or AI model solve the Riemann hypothesis by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before December 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before the Collatz Conjecture?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if a valid proof or counterexample of the Riemann Hypothesis accepted by the global mathematical community before January 1, 2030.
- Otherwise, the market resolves to NO.
- Specifically, "solved" is defined by either of the following occurring on or before December 31, 2029 (11:59 PM UTC):
- The Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) formally awards the Millennium Prize for the Riemann Hypothesis or officially announces on its website (claymath.org) that the problem has been solved.
- A paper proving or disproving the Riemann Hypothesis is published in a peer-reviewed academic journal, and a broad consensus of the global mathematics community (as reported by major scientific bodies or reputable scientific outlets like the International Mathematical Union, Nature, or Science) accepts the proof as correct.