Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 60%
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète8 juin 26, 18:24 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before blue-collar jobs are automated?
Manifold MarketsWill a Human or AI model solve the Riemann hypothesis by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
KalshiWill the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before the Collatz Conjecture?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by which date?
PolymarketFurther substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if a valid proof or counterexample of the Riemann Hypothesis accepted by the global mathematical community before January 1, 2030.
- Otherwise, the market resolves to NO.
- Specifically, "solved" is defined by either of the following occurring on or before December 31, 2029 (11:59 PM UTC):
- The Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) formally awards the Millennium Prize for the Riemann Hypothesis or officially announces on its website (claymath.org) that the problem has been solved.
- A paper proving or disproving the Riemann Hypothesis is published in a peer-reviewed academic journal, and a broad consensus of the global mathematics community (as reported by major scientific bodies or reputable scientific outlets like the International Mathematical Union, Nature, or Science) accepts the proof as correct.
Marchés ouverts
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 211 k €
- Volume 24h
- 110,5 k €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 21,3 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2 k €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 60% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria