Will the news identify a 2002 SARS level outbreak event as having been caused by an open weight AI model by EOY 2028?
IAOne-OffTechSanté et médecine2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93%
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Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète28 juil. 26, 20:18 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
A common argument against releasing open weight AI models is they will be used to create a viral pandemic. [e.g Noah Smith](https://x.com/i/status/2081632874516935053):
- I love AI but someone is going to vibe-code the doomsday virus and we are all going to die
- Another one [from James Miller](https://x.com/i/status/2081493852863545628):
- What is the plan to prevent open source AI from aiding potential bioterrorists?
- SARS 1 was an early 2000's biological outbreak event, summarized by Wikipedia as: "The 2002–2004 outbreak of SARS, caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV or SARS-CoV-1), infected over 8,000 people from 30 countries and territories, and resulted in at least 774 deaths worldwide.[1]"
- Open weights models are AI models whose weights, inference code, etc have been voluntarily released to the public on an ongoing basis by their developers.
